Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.04%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.