Major League Soccer
NY City
Sep 19, 2024 12.30am
1
5
HT : 2 6
FT Yankee Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Alonso Martinez 45'+5' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 45'+5' goal
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 51' yellowcard
  • Strahinja Tanasijevic 51' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Kevin O'Toole 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tai Baribo 15'
  • goal Tai Baribo 15'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 25'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 25'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 31'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 31'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 42'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 42'
  • goal Jakob Glesnes 73'
  • goal Jakob Glesnes 74'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 85'
  • goal Jesus Bueno 85'

New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
DC United 1 - 1 NY City
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Alonso Martinez

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
Inter Miami 3 - 1 Philadelphia
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Daniel Gazdag

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 3-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result

New York City FC 66.5% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 18.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Philadelphia Union 15.41% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.54% ▼ (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.97% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 2.5 33.03% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 45.24% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 54.76% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 26.5% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 4.5 73.49% ▲ (+0.19)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5 90.76% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 9.24% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 1.5 68.76% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 31.24% ▲ (+0.16)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 65.6% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 0.5 34.39% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 28.9% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 1.5 71.1% ▲ (+0.12)

Score analysis

New York City FC 66.5%
Draw 18.09%
Philadelphia Union 15.41%
New York City FC
2-1 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 7.64% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.57% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 7.16% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.84%
Total : 66.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.08% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 18.09%
Philadelphia Union
1-2 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 15.41%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
May 16, 2024 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 4
FT Subaru Park
NY City
  • Kai Wagner 45' yellowcard
  • Kai Wagner 45' yellowcard
  • Julian Carranza 47' goal
  • Julian Carranza 48' goal
  • Jack Elliott 71' yellowcard
  • Jack Elliott 71' yellowcard
  • goal Alonso Martinez 2'
  • goal Alonso Martinez 2'
  • goal Hannes Wolf 45'+2'
  • goal Hannes Wolf 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 51'
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 51'
  • yellowcard Agustin Ojeda 62'
  • yellowcard Agustin Ojeda 62'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 78'
  • yellowcard Andres Perea 78'
  • yellowcard Monsef Bakrar 87'
  • yellowcard Monsef Bakrar 87'
  • yellowcard Malachi Jones 90'
  • yellowcard Malachi Jones 90'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Jul 16, 2023 12.30am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Subaru Park
NY City
  • Jose Andres Martinez 23' goal
  • Jose Andres Martinez 23' goal
  • Chris Donovan 81' goal
  • Chris Donovan 81' goal
  • goal Andres Jasson 86'
  • goal Andres Jasson 86'
Major League Soccer
NY City
May 28, 2023 12.30am
1
3
HT : 2 4
FT Yankee Stadium
Philadelphia
  • Gabriel Pereira 30' goal
  • Gabriel Pereira 30' goal
  • goal Julian Carranza 45'+1'
  • goal Julian Carranza 45'+1'
  • goal Julian Carranza 45'+3'
  • goal Julian Carranza 45'+3'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 53'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 53'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Oct 31, 2022 12.00am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NY City
  • Julian Carranza 65' goal
  • Daniel Gazdag 67' goal
  • Cory Burke 76' goal
  • goal Maximiliano Moralez 57'
Major League Soccer
Philadelphia
Jun 26, 2022 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
NY City
  • Mikael Uhre 9' goal
  • Julian Carranza 81' yellowcard
  • Cory Burke 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Santiago Rodriguez 13'
  • yellowcard Alexander Callens 80'
  • yellowcard Valentin Castellanos 81'
  • goal Valentin Castellanos 88'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Moralez 88'
Major League Soccer
NY City
Mar 19, 2022 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Philadelphia
  • Andres Jasson 11' yellowcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 52' yellowcard
  • Valentin Castellanos 73' yellowcard
  • Talles Magno 85' yellowcard
  • goal Alejandro Bedoya 12'
  • yellowcard Julian Carranza 14'
  • goal Daniel Gazdag 33'
  • yellowcard Daniel Gazdag 67'
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 73'
  • yellowcard Cory Burke 74'

Form Data

DC United 1 - 1 NY City
Columbus Crew 4 - 2 NY City
NY City 2 - 2 Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew 1 - 1 NY City
Tigres 1 - 2 NY City
New England 1 - 1 NY City
Inter Miami 3 - 1 Philadelphia
NY Red Bulls 0 - 2 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 0 - 1 Columbus Crew
Philadelphia 2 - 2 Colorado
Columbus Crew 3 - 1 Philadelphia
Philadelphia 1 - 1 Mazatlan