Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for DC United had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest DC United win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | New York City FC |
| 34.95% ( | 23.72% ( | 41.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.22% ( | 39.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.86% ( | 62.14% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( | 22.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.68% ( | 56.32% ( |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.44% ( | 19.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.52% ( | 51.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 1-0 @ 6.58% ( 2-0 @ 4.88% ( 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 3-2 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.29% Total : 34.95% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 1-3 @ 4.77% ( 2-3 @ 3.54% ( 0-3 @ 3.21% ( 1-4 @ 1.94% ( 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0-4 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.22% Total : 41.33% |