Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.