Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Dallas |
| 49.53% ( | 22.9% ( | 27.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.58% ( | 39.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.23% ( | 61.76% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% ( | 16.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.4% ( | 45.6% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.99% ( | 27.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.64% ( | 62.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Dallas |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 5-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.57% Total : 49.53% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 3-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 1-4 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 27.57% |