Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
DC United	Draw	Mazatlan
39.49% ( 0.05)	23.72% ( -0.03)	36.78% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 62.47% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.45% (

0.16)

39.54% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.11% (

0.17)

61.89% (

-0.17)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.7% (

0.09)

20.3% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.33% (

0.14)

52.66% (

-0.15)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.38% (

0.07)

21.61% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.28% (

0.1)

54.72% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

DC United 39.49%

Mazatlan 36.78%

Draw 23.72%

DC United	Draw	Mazatlan
2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 39.49%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.72%	1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.78%