Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.