Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 58.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 18.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.