Major League Soccer

Jul 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Toyota Stadium

Dallas
3 - 1
Austin

Arriola (10', 10'), Musa (56' pen., 56' pen.), Farfan (74', 74')
Farrington (55'), Farrington (55'), Musa (56'), Musa (56'), Twumasi (63'), Twumasi (63'), Paes (90+8'), Twumasi (90+8')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Zardes (16', 16')
Cascante (55'), Cascante (55'), Pereira (90+8'), Pereira (90+8')
Driussi (60'), Driussi (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and Austin FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 2-0 LA Galaxy
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Austin FC

All competitions

Last Game: Austin 0-1 Seattle
Sunday, July 14 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.

Result
Dallas	Draw	Austin FC
53.34% ( 0.22)	23.56% ( -0.07)	23.1% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 54.3% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.57% (

0.13)

46.43% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.29% (

0.12)

68.71% (

-0.12)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.65% (

0.13)

17.35% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.27% (

0.23)

47.73% (

-0.22)

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.7% (

-0.07)

34.3% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29% (

-0.07)

71% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Dallas 53.34%

Austin FC 23.1%

Draw 23.55%

Dallas	Draw	Austin FC
1-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.77% Total : 53.34%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.55%	0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 23.1%