Major League Soccer

Jul 21, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Gillette Stadium

New England
1 - 1
Dallas

Burgess (66', 66')
Polster (20'), Polster (20'), Arreaga (30'), Arreaga (30'), Wood (70'), Wood (70'), Kessler (90+4'), Ivacic (90'), Kessler (90+4'), Ivacic (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Arriola (90+5' pen., 90+5' pen.)
Luccin (21'), Luccin (21'), Ibeagha (36'), Ibeagha (36'), Burgess (49'), Burgess (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions

Last Game: Philadelphia 5-1 New England
Thursday, July 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Dallas

All competitions

Last Game: Dallas 3-1 Austin
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
New England Revolution	Draw	Dallas
46.55% ( 0.13)	24.64% ( -0.07)	28.82% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 56.15% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.5% (

0.3)

46.5% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.22% (

0.28)

68.78% (

-0.28)

New England Revolution Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.94% (

0.17)

20.06% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.72% (

0.28)

52.28% (

-0.28)

Dallas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.24% (

0.11)

29.76% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.17% (

0.14)

65.83% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

New England Revolution 46.55%

Dallas 28.82%

Draw 24.63%

New England Revolution	Draw	Dallas
1-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.55%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.63%	0-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 28.82%