Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for DC United had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | DC United |
| 42.44% ( | 24.58% ( | 32.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( | 44.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( | 66.76% ( |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79% ( | 21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.23% ( | 53.77% ( |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( | 25.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% ( | 60.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chicago Fire | Draw | DC United |
| 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 3-0 @ 3.46% ( 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 4-2 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.44% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.57% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.97% |