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Major League Soccer

Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
DC United

Toronto
1 - 3
DC United

Kerr (83', 83')
Flores (65'), Flores (66'), Kerr (77'), Kerr (77'), Laryea (90+1'), Laryea (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodriguez (67', 67'), Badji (88', 88'), Pirani (90+4', 90+3')
Pirani (90+1'), Pirani (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, August 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

DC United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 3-4 Dallas
Sunday, August 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for DC United had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawDC United
51.17% (0.188 0.19)22.88% (-0.112 -0.11)25.95% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 59.79% (0.309 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.37% (0.443 0.44)40.63% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.99% (0.453 0.45)63.01% (-0.458 -0.46)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (0.22500000000001 0.23)16.01% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.66% (0.416 0.42)45.34% (-0.421 -0.42)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (0.173 0.17)28.81% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (0.217 0.22)64.66% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 51.17%
    DC United 25.95%
    Draw 22.87%
TorontoDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.45% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.69% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 51.17%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.87%
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.74% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 25.95%

How you voted: Toronto vs DC United

Toronto
41.7%
Draw
16.7%
DC United
41.7%
12
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2024 12.30am
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Ku-Dipietro (79'), Klich (90+5' pen.)
Etienne (2'), Bernardeschi (33')
Bernardeschi (52'), Gomis (80'), Flores (82'), Marshall-Rutty (90+4'), Osorio (90+4'), Longstaff (90+8'), Petretta (90+12')
Bernardeschi (87'), Gomis (90+4')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Toronto
2-1
DC United
Kerr (14'), Thompson (72')
Kaye (45+2'), Marshall-Rutty (90+5')
Benteke (87')
Santos (69')
> Preview
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
DC United
3-2
Toronto
Klich (13'), Benteke (90'), Ku-Dipietro (90+8')
Bernardeschi (66' pen.), Kaye (83')
> Preview
May 21, 2022 11.30pm
DC United
2-2
Toronto
Flores (8'), Estrada (56')
Hines-Ike (16'), Alfaro (23'), Smith (84'), Durkin (90+2')
Akinola (36'), Osorio (89')
Salcedo (10'), Jimenez (45+1'), Osorio (80'), Achara (85')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 7pm
Toronto
2-1
DC United
Pozuelo (24'), Osorio (53')
Pozuelo (47'), Osorio (55'), O'Neill (77'), MacNaughton (82')
Canouse (10')
Flores (49'), Najar (72'), Yow (83')
> Preview