Major League Soccer

Aug 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK

BBVA Compass Stadium

Houston
0 - 1
Toronto

Olsen (0'), Olsen (0'), Kowalczyk (78'), Kowalczyk (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Osei Owusu (54', 54')
Osorio (6'), Osorio (6'), Flores (45'), Flores (45'), Bernardeschi (61'), Bernardeschi (61'), (90+1'), (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Houston Dynamo and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Houston (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 1.30am in Leagues Cup

Goals
for

Toronto

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 4-3 Toronto
Friday, August 9 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Houston Dynamo	Draw	Toronto
61.89% ( 0.21)	21.09% ( -0.02)	17.02% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 52.42% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.93% (

-0.22)

44.06% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.55% (

-0.22)

66.44% (

0.22)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.3% (

-0.01)

13.69% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.08% (

-0.02)

40.92% (

0.02)

Toronto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.73% (

-0.36)

39.27% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.03% (

-0.34)

75.97% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Houston Dynamo 61.88%

Toronto 17.02%

Draw 21.09%

Houston Dynamo	Draw	Toronto
1-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 61.88%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.09%	0-1 @ 5.03% 1-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 17.02%