Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.