Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Al-Duhail had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.27%) and 0-1 (5.08%). The likeliest Al-Duhail win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.