Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Sadd win with a probability of 60.02%. A win for Al Arabi had a probability of 20.71% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Sadd win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Al Arabi win was 1-2 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Sadd would win this match.