Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Arabi win with a probability of 58.41%. A win for Al Markhiya had a probability of 21.72% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Arabi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.14%) and 3-1 (7.05%). The likeliest Al Markhiya win was 1-2 (5.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.