Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zalaegerszegi TE win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Kecskemeti TE had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zalaegerszegi TE win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Kecskemeti TE win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zalaegerszegi TE would win this match.