National League South | Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
3 - 3
Farnborough

Howe (17'), Brown (25'), Esprit (45+4')
Brown (32')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Matthews-Lewis (7'), Chin (26', 49')
Page (45+2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Farnborough Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawFarnborough Town
28.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)23.99% (-0.012 -0.01)47.74% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 57.95% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.04% (0.056999999999995 0.06)43.96% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.65% (0.056000000000004 0.06)66.35% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.15% (0.034999999999997 0.03)28.85% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.29% (0.042999999999999 0.04)64.71% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (0.025000000000006 0.03)18.56% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19% (0.039999999999999 0.04)49.81% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 28.27%
    Farnborough Town 47.74%
    Draw 23.98%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawFarnborough Town
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 6.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 28.27%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-1 @ 9.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 4.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 47.74%

Head to Head
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Hemel Hemps.
2-1
Farnborough
Hinds (76'), Judd (87')
Fearn (15')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Farnborough
2-1
Hemel Hemps.
Pavey (25'), Cullen (76')
Krasniqi (45')
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Farnborough
1-2
Hemel Hemps.
Grant (51')
Hinds (12'), Brown (22')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Hemel Hemps.
1-0
Farnborough
Greenidge (25')
rhs 2.0


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