Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Aveley	Draw	Truro City
37.26% ( 0.03)	26.24% ( -0.16)	36.49% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 53.41% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78% (

0.71)

51.22% (

-0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.94% (

0.62)

73.06% (

-0.62)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3% (

0.35)

26.69% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.05% (

0.46)

61.95% (

-0.46)

Truro City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.86% (

0.42)

27.14% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.46% (

0.54)

62.54% (

-0.54)

Score Analysis

Aveley 37.26%

Truro City 36.49%

Draw 26.24%

Aveley	Draw	Truro City
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.26%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.49%