Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Da Tapadinha

Benfica
1 - 2
Lyon

Faria (43')
Ucheibe (66'), Alves (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cascarino (63'), Dabritz (79')
Bacha (32'), Cascarino (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's Champions League clash between Benfica Women and Lyon Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica Women

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Last Game: Benfica 4-4 Barcelona
Wednesday, January 31 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
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Lyon Women

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Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Slavia Prague
Wednesday, January 31 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 67.14%. A win for Benfica Women had a probability of 16.97% and a draw had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.55%) and 2-3 (5.57%). The likeliest Benfica Women win was 2-1 (3.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon Women in this match.

Result
Benfica WomenDrawLyon Women
16.97% (-0.052 -0.05)15.88% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)67.14% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Both teams to score 72.99% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.46% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)18.54% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
64.02% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)35.98% (0.055 0.05)
Benfica Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)22.85% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (-0.11 -0.11)56.58% (0.11 0.11)
Lyon Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.61%5.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.88%21.11% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Score Analysis
    Benfica Women 16.97%
    Lyon Women 67.14%
    Draw 15.88%
Benfica WomenDrawLyon Women
2-1 @ 3.92% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-0 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
2-0 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 16.97%
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-1 @ 5.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 15.88%
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.55% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 5.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.52% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.25% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.12% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 4.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.74% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.59% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 3.22% (0.004 0)
2-5 @ 2.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-5 @ 2.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-4 @ 2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-6 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
3-5 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
2-6 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
0-6 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 67.14%

How you voted: Benfica vs Lyon

Benfica Women
16.7%
Draw
13.9%
Lyon Women
69.4%
36