Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon Women win with a probability of 67.14%. A win for Benfica Women had a probability of 16.97% and a draw had a probability of 15.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.55%) and 2-3 (5.57%). The likeliest Benfica Women win was 2-1 (3.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon Women in this match.