Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.32%. A win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.27%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Rampla Juniors win was 1-0 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.