Women's Champions League | Group Stage

Jan 24, 2024 at 8pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
3 - 1
Ajax

Katoto (6', 25'), Geyoro (39')
Groenen (9'), Karchaoui (61')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Leuchter (31')
Noordam (12'), van de Velde (81'), Yohannes (82')

Coverage of the Women's Champions League Group Stage clash between Paris Saint-Germain Women and Ajax Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain Women

Last Game: Roma 1-3 PSG
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Ajax Women

Last Game: Ajax 1-0 Bayern Munich
Wednesday, December 20 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Ajax Women had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for an Ajax Women win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain Women would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain Women	Draw	Ajax Women
56.72% ( -0.22)	22.06% ( 0.09)	21.22% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 56.71% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.99% (

-0.24)

42.01% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.58% (

-0.25)

64.42% (

0.25)

Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.37% (

-0.15)

14.63% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.25% (

-0.29)

42.75% (

0.3)

Ajax Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.43% (

-0.02)

33.57% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.79% (

-0.02)

70.21% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain Women 56.72%

Ajax Women 21.22%

Draw 22.06%

Paris Saint-Germain Women	Draw	Ajax Women
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 56.72%	1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.06%	1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 21.22%