Women's Champions League | Second Round | 1st Leg
Oct 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
Old Trafford

Man Utd Women
1 - 1
PSG

Malard (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chawinga (53')
Bachmann (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Women's Champions League clash between Manchester United Women and Paris Saint-Germain Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-2 Arsenal Women
Friday, October 6 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League

Paris Saint-Germain Women

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 1-1 PSG
Thursday, March 30 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain Women win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
32.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)24.45% (0.011000000000003 0.01)42.83% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 58.83% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)43.9% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.71% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)66.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)25.9% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)60.88% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)20.61% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.83% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)53.16% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 32.71%
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 42.83%
    Draw 24.44%
Manchester United WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.21% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.47% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.71%
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.44%
1-2 @ 8.99%
0-1 @ 8.43% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.66% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 42.83%

How you voted: Man Utd Women vs PSG

Manchester United Women
58.8%
Draw
21.6%
Paris Saint-Germain Women
19.6%
51