Women's Super League Gameweek 1
Oct 1, 2023 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
  • Lucy Parker 14' yellowcard
  • Rachel Corsie 26' yellowcard
  • Kirsty Hanson 74' redcard
  • Rachel Daly 76' goal
  • Adriana Leon 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Geyse Ferreira 33'
  • yellowcard Ella Toone 43'
  • goal Lucia Garcia 79'
  • goal Wouter Deman 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucia Garcia 90'+10'

Aston Villa Women vs Manchester United Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Arsenal 0 - 2 Aston Villa
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Rachel Daly

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Liverpool 0 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nikita Parris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 72.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 10.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 0-3 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester United Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester United Women.

Result

Aston Villa Women 10.33% (+0.49)
Draw 17.07% (+0.12)
Manchester United Women 72.59% (-0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.15% (+1.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.74% (+0.99)
Under 2.5 41.26% (-0.99)
Over 3.5 36.34% (+1.00)
Under 3.5 63.65% (-1.00)
Over 4.5 19.28% (+0.76)
Under 4.5 80.72% (-0.76)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5 52.36% (+1.62)
Under 0.5 47.63% (-1.62)
Over 1.5 17.04% (+1.17)
Under 1.5 82.96% (-1.17)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5 90.03% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 9.96% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 67.05% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 32.94% (-0.26)

Score analysis

Aston Villa Women 10.33%
Draw 17.07%
Manchester United Women 72.59%
Aston Villa Women
1-0 @ 3.52% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 3.01% (+0.16)
2-0 @ 1.31% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 10.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.12% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 3.47% (+0.20)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 17.07%
Manchester United Women
0-2 @ 12.62% (-0.45)
0-1 @ 10.94% (-0.45)
0-3 @ 9.7% (-0.30)
1-2 @ 9.36% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 7.2% (+0.12)
0-4 @ 5.59% (-0.15)
1-4 @ 4.15% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.67% (+0.17)
0-5 @ 2.58% (-0.06)
1-5 @ 1.91% (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.54% (+0.10)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 72.59%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 19
Apr 28, 2023 7.15pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Rachel Daly 9' goal
  • Rachel Daly 37' goal
  • goal Leah Galton 15'
  • goal Nikita Parris 62'
  • goal Millie Turner 90'+3'
Women's Super League Gameweek 9
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Katie Zelem 13' goal
  • Leah Galton 28' goal
  • Alessia Russo 51' goal
  • Ona Batlle 76' goal
  • Wouter Deman 90'+3' goal
Women's Super League Gameweek 20
Apr 24, 2022 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's Super League Gameweek 10
Dec 19, 2021 12.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Ella Toone 8' goal
  • Katie Zelem 13' goal
  • Lucy Staniforth 50' goal
  • Martha Thomas 73' goal
  • Kirsty Hanson 76' yellowcard
  • Ella Toone 79' goal
  • Hayley Ladd 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruesha Littlejohn 52'
  • yellowcard Sarah Mayling 81'
  • yellowcard Chantelle Boye-Hlorkah 87'
Women's Super League Gameweek 11
Mar 7, 2021 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kirsty Hanson 27' goal
  • Jessica Sigsworth 43' goal
  • Lucy Staniforth 45' yellowcard
  • Katie Zelem 73' goal
  • yellowcard Elisha N'Dow 71'
Women's Super League Gameweek 6
Dec 5, 2020 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Chloe Arthur 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Leah Galton 25'
  • goal Ella Toone 89'