Women's Super League Gameweek 18
Apr 19, 2023 7.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alessia Russo 45'+6' goal

Manchester United Women vs Arsenal Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Apr 1, 2023 11.30am
Brighton 0 - 4 Man Utd
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Leah Galton

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Apr 2, 2023 12.30pm
Arsenal 2 - 1 Man City
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Frida Maanum

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.

Result

Manchester United Women 46.38% (+0.41)
Draw 23.27% (+0.33)
Arsenal Women 30.34% (-0.73)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.9% (-1.60)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.63% (-1.93)
Under 2.5 39.37% (+1.93)
Over 3.5 38.29% (-2.05)
Under 3.5 61.71% (+2.04)
Over 4.5 20.78% (-1.63)
Under 4.5 79.21% (+1.63)

Manchester United Women Goals

Over 0.5 82.7% (-0.60)
Under 0.5 17.3% (+0.59)
Over 1.5 52.34% (-1.05)
Under 1.5 47.66% (+1.05)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5 74.85% (-1.40)
Under 0.5 25.15% (+1.39)
Over 1.5 40.14% (-1.96)
Under 1.5 59.86% (+1.96)

Score analysis

Manchester United Women 46.38%
Draw 23.27%
Arsenal Women 30.34%
Manchester United Women
2-1 @ 9.24% (+0.12)
1-0 @ 7.63% (+0.53)
2-0 @ 6.7% (+0.34)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.92% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.19)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.72% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.12)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 46.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.53% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.19)
0-0 @ 4.35% (+0.38)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.27%
Arsenal Women
1-2 @ 7.27% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.01% (+0.30)
0-2 @ 4.15% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.94% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.06)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.11)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.12)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 30.34%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 8
Nov 19, 2022 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Frida Maanum 46' goal
  • Laura Wienroither 73' goal
  • goal Ella Toone 39'
  • goal Millie Turner 85'
  • goal Alessia Russo 90'+1'
Women's Super League Gameweek 14
Feb 5, 2022 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Katie McCabe 57' yellowcard
  • Vivianne Miedema 63' yellowcard
  • Katie McCabe 75' redcard
  • Stina Blackstenius 79' goal
  • goal Alessia Russo 10'
  • yellowcard Diane Caldwell 55'
Women's Super League Gameweek 8
Nov 21, 2021 12.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hannah Blundell 75' yellowcard
  • goal Vivianne Miedema 48'
  • yellowcard Katie McCabe 51'
  • goal Katie McCabe 57'
Women's Super League Gameweek 11
Mar 19, 2021 6.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Millie Turner 3' goal
  • Katie McCabe 31' yellowcard
  • Lotte Wubben-Moy 51' goal
  • Beth Mead 52' yellowcard
  • Beth Mead 62' redcard
  • Lia Walti 79' yellowcard
Women's Super League Gameweek 5
Nov 8, 2020 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Leigh Sports Village Stadium
  • Ella Toone 83' goal
  • yellowcard Lotte Wubben-Moy 52'
Women's Super League Gameweek 12
Apr 5, 2020 2.00pm