Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.