Women's Super League | Gameweek 14
Mar 8, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
 

Arsenal Women
2 - 0
Liverpool Women

Blackstenius (28'), Foord (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Liverpool Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City Women 2-1 Arsenal Women
Saturday, February 11 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 0-1 Leicester Women
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 81.65%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 6.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.22%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (2.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawLiverpool Women
81.65% (0.10599999999999 0.11)11.58% (-0.096 -0.1)6.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.84% (0.481 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.98% (0.542 0.54)26.01% (-0.54 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.77% (0.692 0.69)46.23% (-0.69 -0.69)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.24% (0.12 0.12)4.76% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.76% (0.35599999999999 0.36)19.24% (-0.354 -0.35)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.48% (0.436 0.44)44.52% (-0.434 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.45% (0.35 0.35)80.55% (-0.34899999999999 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 81.65%
    Liverpool Women 6.77%
    Draw 11.58%
Arsenal WomenDrawLiverpool Women
3-0 @ 9.97% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-1 @ 8.07% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 7.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.45% (-0.17 -0.17)
4-1 @ 6.14% (0.062 0.06)
5-0 @ 4.63% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 3.74% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.49% (0.055 0.06)
6-0 @ 2.35% (0.033 0.03)
6-1 @ 1.9% (0.049 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.51% (0.045 0.04)
7-0 @ 1.02% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 81.65%
1-1 @ 5.22% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.22% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 11.58%
1-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 1.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 6.77%

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Liverpool Women

Arsenal Women
88.9%
Draw
5.6%
Liverpool Women
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Feb 13, 2020 7pm
Liverpool Women
2-3
Arsenal Women
Babajide (14'), Furness (45')
Bradley-Auckland (5'), Robe (52'), Babajide (86')
Miedema (31', 78'), Nobbs (33')
Beattie (58'), McCabe (61')
Mar 24, 2019 12.30pm
Liverpool Women
1-5
Arsenal Women
Sweetman-Kirk (76' pen.)
Linnett (78')
Little (20'), Mead (22', 65'), Bradley-Auckland (67' og.), Miedema (85')
Sep 9, 2018 12.30pm
Arsenal Women
5-0
Liverpool Women
Miedema (6', 39', 90'), Evans (14'), Little (35')

Fahey (80')