Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
36.23% ( 0.43)	25.85% ( 1.94)	37.92% ( -2.37)

Both teams to score 54.74% (

-6.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.49% (

-8.97)

49.51% (

8.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.45% (

-8.62)

71.54% (

8.62)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.51% (

-3.91)

26.48% (

3.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.33% (

-5.5)

61.67% (

5.5)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.47% (

-5.18)

25.53% (

5.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.61% (

-7.64)

60.39% (

7.63)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Women 36.23%

Arsenal Women 37.92%

Draw 25.84%

Manchester City Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 2.15) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.88) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.41) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.74) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.3) Other @ 3.22% Total : 36.23%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 1.38) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 2.17) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.89) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.58) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 9.23% ( 1.92) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.48) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.79) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.89) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.53) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.25) Other @ 2.53% Total : 37.92%