Women's Super League | Gameweek 12

Jan 21, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Academy Stadium

Man City Women
1 - 1
Aston Villa

FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Women

All competitions

Last Game: West Ham 0-1 Man City Women
Sunday, January 15 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League

Goals
for

Aston Villa Women

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Spurs Ladies
Saturday, January 14 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 83.94%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 5.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 4-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
83.94% ( -0.36)	10.77% ( 0.22)	5.3% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 46.16% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.07% (

-0.42)

28.93% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.11% (

-0.51)

49.89% (

0.51)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.09% (

-0.13)

4.92% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.28% (

-0.41)

19.72% (

0.41)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.54% (

0.18)

51.46% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.35% (

0.12)

85.65% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Women 83.92%

Aston Villa Women 5.3%

Draw 10.77%

Manchester City Women	Draw	Aston Villa Women
3-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 7-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.74% Total : 83.92%	1-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.64% Total : 10.77%	1-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.93% Total : 5.3%