Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 94.27%. A draw had a probability of 4.8% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 0.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 17.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (14.99%) and 0-2 (14.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.41%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (0.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.
