Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aston Villa Women in this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 19.46% | 23.56% | 56.98% |
| Both teams to score 49.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.31% | 50.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.41% | 72.6% |
| Birmingham City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.66% | 40.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.03% | 76.97% |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.42% | 17.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.86% | 48.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 1-0 @ 6.44% 2-1 @ 5.08% 2-0 @ 2.92% 3-1 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.15% Total : 19.46% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 12.33% 0-2 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 9.73% 0-3 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 5.64% 0-4 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.56% 1-4 @ 2.45% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.6% Total : 56.98% |


