Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 87.04%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.16%) and 0-4 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.22%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (1.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 4% | 8.97% | 87.04% |
| Both teams to score 44.01% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.89% | 26.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.62% | 46.38% |
| Birmingham City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.81% | 54.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.61% | 87.39% |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.07% | 3.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.35% | 16.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 1-0 @ 1.3% 2-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.4% Total : 4% | 1-1 @ 4.22% 0-0 @ 2.13% 2-2 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.52% Total : 8.97% | 0-3 @ 12.05% 0-2 @ 11.16% 0-4 @ 9.76% 1-3 @ 7.39% 0-1 @ 6.89% 1-2 @ 6.84% 0-5 @ 6.33% 1-4 @ 5.98% 1-5 @ 3.88% 0-6 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-6 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.83% 0-7 @ 1.58% 2-5 @ 1.19% 1-7 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.42% Total : 87.03% |


