Women's Super League Gameweek 4
Oct 2, 2021 5.15pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mayumi Pacheco 57' yellowcard
  • goal Kim Little 51'
  • goal Mana Iwabuchi 80'
  • goal Katie McCabe 83'
  • goal Kim Little 90'+2'

Aston Villa Women vs Arsenal Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Sep 26, 2021 2.00pm
Brighton 0 - 1 Aston Villa
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Ramona Petzelberger

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Sep 26, 2021 6.45pm
Arsenal 5 - 0 Man City
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Vivianne Miedema

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 89.45%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 3.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 0-4 (10.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.52%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (1.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa Women 3.06%
Draw 7.48%
Arsenal Women 89.45%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.27%

Goals

Over 2.5 76.63%
Under 2.5 23.37%
Over 3.5 57.2%
Under 3.5 42.79%

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5 43.64%
Under 0.5 56.36%
Over 1.5 11.32%
Under 1.5 88.68%

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5 96.85%
Under 0.5 3.15%
Over 1.5 85.95%
Under 1.5 14.04%

Score analysis

Aston Villa Women 3.06%
Draw 7.48%
Arsenal Women 89.44%
Aston Villa Women
1-0 @ 1.02%
2-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 3.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 3.52%
0-0 @ 1.77%
2-2 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 7.48%
Arsenal Women
0-3 @ 12.26%
0-2 @ 10.62%
0-4 @ 10.61%
0-5 @ 7.35%
1-3 @ 7.03%
0-1 @ 6.14%
1-2 @ 6.09%
1-4 @ 6.09%
0-6 @ 4.24%
1-5 @ 4.21%
1-6 @ 2.43%
0-7 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 1.75%
2-5 @ 1.21%
1-7 @ 1.2%
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 89.44%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 14
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's Super League Gameweek 8
Feb 28, 2021 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nadine Hanssen 85' yellowcard
  • goal Vivianne Miedema 58'
  • goal Jordan Nobbs 67'
  • goal Katie McCabe 73'
  • goal Lisa Evans 88'