Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 80.23%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 6.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.97%) and 0-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.07%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-0 (2.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.