Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 53.92%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 53.92% | 22.73% | 23.34% |
| Both teams to score 57.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% | 42.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% | 64.93% |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.27% | 15.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.17% | 44.83% |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% | 31.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.61% | 68.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% 1-0 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 6.05% 3-0 @ 5.3% 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 2.8% 4-0 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.03% 5-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.65% Total : 53.92% | 1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 5.6% 0-0 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 6.05% 0-1 @ 5.73% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.61% Total : 23.34% |


