Man City Women

5 - 0

Aston Villa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 16.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.