Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win with a probability of 54.51%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur Ladies would win this match.