Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 91.52%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 1.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.47%) and 0-4 (12.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.05%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (0.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.