Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 91.52%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 1.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.47%) and 0-4 (12.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.05%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (0.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 1.92% | 6.56% | 91.52% |
| Both teams to score 30.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.98% | 28.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.2% | 48.81% |
| Birmingham City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 31.59% | 68.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 5.62% | 94.38% |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.5% | 3.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.77% | 15.24% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 1-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.01% Total : 1.92% | 1-1 @ 3.05% 0-0 @ 2.39% 2-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.15% Total : 6.56% | 0-3 @ 15.06% 0-2 @ 13.47% 0-4 @ 12.63% 0-5 @ 8.48% 0-1 @ 8.03% 1-3 @ 5.72% 1-2 @ 5.12% 1-4 @ 4.8% 0-6 @ 4.74% 1-5 @ 3.22% 0-7 @ 2.27% 1-6 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.09% 0-8 @ 0.95% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.21% Total : 91.51% |


