Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 96.5%. A draw had a probability of 3% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 0.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 4-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.75%) and 5-0 (12.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.44%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (0.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.