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Women's Super League | Gameweek 8
Nov 21, 2021 at 2pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
5 - 0
B'ham Women

Kirby (4', 75'), Kerr (18', 29', 44')
Bright (84')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Lawley (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Birmingham City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Chelsea Women will aim to collect their eighth successive victory when they welcome Birmingham City Women to Kingsmeadow on Sunday and the hosts enter the fixture in second place in the Women's Super League Meanwhile, the visitors head into the encounter without a head coach after the sacking of Scott Booth in midweek.

Match preview

Chelsea are in a rich vein of form having won their last seven fixtures in all competitions, which leaves them a point behind league leaders Arsenal. The hosts are aiming for their third consecutive WSL title, and the defending champions showed their quality last weekend when they thrashed Manchester City 4-0. Jessie Fleming and Sam Kerr gave Chelsea a two-goal advantage going into half time, with Fran Kirby and Magdalena Eriksson netting in the second half to complete the impressive victory. Emma Hayes's side followed that result with another victory in midweek, with Kerr striking in the second half to guide Chelsea to a 1-0 victory over Servette in the Women's Champions League. Chelsea have been in sublime form at home in the league this season, scoring nine goals and only conceding once. Birmingham relieved Booth of his duties as head coach, with Tony Elliott set to take charge of the first team on Sunday. The visitors are still searching for their first win of the season, and they head into the weekend with only a point to their name in the WSL. Last weekend, they lost 1-0 to Aston Villa in the Second City Derby with a goal from Anita Asante proving enough to claim all three points. They followed those poor results with a demoralising 4-0 defeat at home to West Ham United in the League Cup on Wednesday, which proved to be the last game for Booth as Birmingham boss. Elliott will be apprehensive ahead of Sunday's tough encounter, with Birmingham the lowest scorers in the league with two goals to their name, while they have also struggled defensively - conceding 16 league goals this term.
Chelsea Women Women's Super League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
Chelsea Women form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
Birmingham City Women Women's Super League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
Birmingham City Women form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Team News

Chelsea are still without Pernille Harder and Aniek Nouwen, although Hayes is hopeful that the pair will be available for the FA Cup final at the start of December. Lauren James made her long-awaited debut in midweek after returning from injury, and she is expected to be on the bench again on Sunday. Norwegian international Maren Mjelde made her first start following a long injury layoff, and she is also likely to begin Sunday's encounter on the bench. Only Lucy Quinn and Jade Pennock have scored for Birmingham in the league this season, and the pair will aim to add to their tallies when they start against Chelsea. Rebecca Holloway has started the last two competitive fixtures, and she is expected to keep her place at left-back for Sunday's contest. Chelsea Women possible starting lineup: Berger; Bright, Carter, Eriksson; Cuthbert, Ji, Leupolz, Reiten; Kirby, Fleming, Kerr Birmingham City Women possible starting lineup: Hourihan; Scott, Lo. Quinn, Sandvej, Holloway; Robertson, Murray, Finn; Sarri, Pennock, Lu. Quinn

We said: Chelsea Women 4-0 Birmingham City Women

The hosts enter the contest in supreme form, and they will be confident of a victory, when they welcome a struggling Birmingham side to Kingsmeadow on Sunday. Chelsea have won the last five competitive meetings between the two sides - scoring 19 goals in that period - with Birmingham failing to score in all five fixtures, and we think the home side will continue their dominance on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 96.5%. A draw had a probability of 3% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 0.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 4-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.75%) and 5-0 (12.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.44%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (0.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBirmingham City Women
96.5%2.98%0.51%
Both teams to score 19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.46%20.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61.05%38.95%
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.21%1.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
91.02%8.98%
Birmingham City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
19.34%80.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
2%98%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 96.49%
    Birmingham City Women 0.51%
    Draw 2.98%
Chelsea WomenDrawBirmingham City Women
4-0 @ 15.89%
3-0 @ 15.75%
5-0 @ 12.82%
2-0 @ 11.71%
6-0 @ 8.63%
1-0 @ 5.8%
7-0 @ 4.97%
4-1 @ 3.42%
3-1 @ 3.39%
5-1 @ 2.76%
2-1 @ 2.52%
8-0 @ 2.51%
6-1 @ 1.86%
9-0 @ 1.13%
7-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 96.49%
0-0 @ 1.44%
1-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 2.98%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 0.51%

Head to Head
Apr 4, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Chelsea Women
6-0
B'ham Women
Kerr (25', 45', 45+3'), Kirby (61', 90+1'), Reiten (73')
Spence (80')

Littlejohn (45+2')
Oct 4, 2020 2.30pm
Feb 12, 2020 7pm
Nov 24, 2019 2.45pm
B'ham Women
0-6
Chelsea Women
So-yun (2'), Bright (37'), England (45', 63'), Spence (48', 52')
Jan 27, 2019 2pm
Chelsea Women
2-3
B'ham Women
Cuthbert (13', 83')
Bachmann (63')
Follis (36'), Quinn (60'), White (92')
Mannion (82')
rhs 2.0
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