Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 77.42%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 8.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.5%) and 0-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-0 (2.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 8.17% | 14.4% | 77.42% |
| Both teams to score 47.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.45% | 35.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.39% | 57.61% |
| Leicester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.67% | 48.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.53% | 83.47% |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.52% | 7.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.12% | 26.88% |
| Score Analysis |
Leicester City Women 8.17%
Manchester City Women 77.41%
Draw 14.4%
| Leicester City Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 1-0 @ 2.63% 2-1 @ 2.48% 2-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.11% Total : 8.17% | 1-1 @ 6.82% 0-0 @ 3.62% 2-2 @ 3.21% Other @ 0.76% Total : 14.4% | 0-2 @ 12.15% 0-3 @ 10.5% 0-1 @ 9.38% 1-2 @ 8.84% 1-3 @ 7.64% 0-4 @ 6.81% 1-4 @ 4.95% 0-5 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 2.78% 1-5 @ 2.57% 2-4 @ 1.8% 0-6 @ 1.53% 1-6 @ 1.11% 2-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.89% Total : 77.41% |


