Women's Super League Gameweek 10
Dec 11, 2022 4.15pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Kirsty Hanson 6' goal
  • goal Rachel Corsie 26' (OG)
  • goal Vivianne Miedema 30'
  • goal Katie McCabe 62'
  • goal Jordan Nobbs 84'

Aston Villa Women vs Arsenal Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Man Utd 5 - 0 Aston Villa
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Rachel Daly

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Dec 3, 2022 2.00pm
Arsenal 1 - 0 Everton
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Frida Maanum

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 74.44%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 8.91%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.13%) and 0-3 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa Women 8.91% (+0.26)
Draw 16.64% (+0.33)
Arsenal Women 74.44% (-0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.91% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.24% (-0.62)
Under 2.5 43.76% (+0.62)
Over 3.5 33.85% (-0.62)
Under 3.5 66.15% (+0.61)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5 47.77% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 52.23% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 13.84% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 86.16% (-0.12)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5 89.84% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 10.16% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 66.61% (-0.71)
Under 1.5 33.39% (+0.71)

Score analysis

Aston Villa Women 8.91%
Draw 16.64%
Arsenal Women 74.43%
Aston Villa Women
1-0 @ 3.45% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 2.56% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 1.12% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 8.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.88% (+0.16)
0-0 @ 5.31% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 2.93% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 16.64%
Arsenal Women
0-2 @ 13.87% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 12.13% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 10.57% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 9.01% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 6.87% (-0.06)
0-4 @ 6.05% (-0.17)
1-4 @ 3.93% (-0.09)
0-5 @ 2.77% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.8% (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.03)
0-6 @ 1.05% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 74.43%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 21
May 1, 2022 2.15pm
7
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Vivianne Miedema 9' goal
  • Vivianne Miedema 13' goal
  • Rachel Corsie 52' goal
  • Beth Mead 61' goal
  • Lotte Wubben-Moy 66' goal
  • Stina Blackstenius 83' goal
  • Nikita Parris 90' goal
  • Caitlin Foord 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ramona Petzelberger 54'
Women's Super League Gameweek 4
Oct 2, 2021 5.15pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mayumi Pacheco 57' yellowcard
  • goal Kim Little 51'
  • goal Mana Iwabuchi 80'
  • goal Katie McCabe 83'
  • goal Kim Little 90'+2'
Women's Super League Gameweek 14
May 9, 2021 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's Super League Gameweek 8
Feb 28, 2021 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nadine Hanssen 85' yellowcard
  • goal Vivianne Miedema 58'
  • goal Jordan Nobbs 67'
  • goal Katie McCabe 73'
  • goal Lisa Evans 88'