Women's Super League | Gameweek 4

Oct 16, 2022 at 6.45pm UK

Reading Women
0 - 1
Arsenal Women

FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Reading Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading Women

All competitions

Last Game: Brighton Women 2-1 Reading Women
Sunday, September 25 at 2pm in Women's Super League

Goals
for

Arsenal Women

All competitions

Women's Super League

Last Game: Ajax Vrouwen 0-1 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, September 28 at 6pm in Women's Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 87.63%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.45%) and 0-4 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.29%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-0 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Reading Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
3.16% ( 0.05)	9.21% ( 0.09)	87.63% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 33.67% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.28% (

-0.16)

33.72% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.45% (

-0.18)

55.54% (

0.18)

Reading Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

35.48% (

0.17)

64.52% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.2% (

0.07)

92.79% (

-0.08)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.89% (

-0.06)

5.1% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.71% (

-0.16)

20.29% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Reading Women 3.16%

Arsenal Women 87.62%

Draw 9.21%

Reading Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
1-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 3.16%	1-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 9.21%	0-2 @ 14.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 14.45% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 10.75% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 6.4% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 4.71% ( -0) 0-6 @ 3.17% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 0-7 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 87.62%