Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 87.63%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.45%) and 0-4 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.29%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-0 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.