Chelsea Women5 - 0Reading Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in Women's FA Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chelsea Women | 21 | 49 | 53 |
| 2 | Arsenal Women | 21 | 53 | 52 |
| 3 | Manchester City Women | 20 | 30 | 41 |
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Women's Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Tottenham Hotspur Ladies | 20 | -1 | 26 |
| 7 | Reading Women | 20 | -13 | 25 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove Albion Women | 21 | -14 | 25 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 87.94%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 4-0 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.1%), while for a Reading Women win it was 0-1 (1.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Reading Women |
| 87.94% | 8.63% | 3.43% |
| Both teams to score 39.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.96% | 28.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.18% | 48.82% |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.91% | 4.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.82% | 17.18% |
| Reading Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.45% | 58.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.11% | 89.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Reading Women |
| 3-0 @ 13.05% 2-0 @ 12.25% 4-0 @ 10.43% 1-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 6.99% 5-0 @ 6.68% 2-1 @ 6.56% 4-1 @ 5.59% 5-1 @ 3.57% 6-0 @ 3.56% 6-1 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.87% 7-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.5% 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.73% Total : 87.92% | 1-1 @ 4.1% 0-0 @ 2.4% 2-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 0.37% Total : 8.63% | 0-1 @ 1.28% 1-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.05% Total : 3.43% |


