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Women's Super League | Gameweek 16
Mar 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 

W Ham Women
1 - 4
Chelsea Women

FT(HT: 0-3)
Mosegaard-Harder (21', 32'), Charles (24'), Kerr (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's Super League clash between West Ham United Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: West Ham United Women 1-3 Chelsea Women

Chelsea have never lost against the Hammers in the WSL, and we do no see that changing here with the Blues hungry to bounce back following the League Cup final defeat, as they bid to close the gap to Arsenal in a title race that looks set to go to the wire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 77.01%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 7.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.61%) and 0-3 (11.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 1-0 (3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
West Ham United WomenDrawChelsea Women
7.72%15.27%77.01%
Both teams to score 42.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.39%41.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.99%64.01%
West Ham United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.35%53.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.94%87.05%
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.01%8.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.36%30.64%
Score Analysis
    West Ham United Women 7.72%
    Chelsea Women 77%
    Draw 15.27%
West Ham United WomenDrawChelsea Women
1-0 @ 3%
2-1 @ 2.25%
2-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 7.72%
1-1 @ 7.23%
0-0 @ 4.82%
2-2 @ 2.71%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 15.27%
0-2 @ 13.99%
0-1 @ 11.61%
0-3 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 8.72%
1-3 @ 7%
0-4 @ 6.77%
1-4 @ 4.22%
0-5 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-5 @ 2.03%
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-6 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 77%

How you voted: W Ham Women vs Chelsea Women

West Ham United Women
28.6%
Draw
0.0%
Chelsea Women
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2022 7pm
Mar 7, 2021 3pm
Dec 6, 2020 12.30pm
Chelsea Women
3-2
West Ham
Kerr (15', 55', 68')
Daly (47'), Ericsson (88' og.)
Daly (33')
Feb 2, 2020 2pm
Chelsea Women
8-0
West Ham
Naevdal Mjelde (7', 61'), England (12', 56'), Ingle (44'), Cuthbert (52'), Bachmann (87'), Murphy (91')

Flaherty (26'), Longhurst (49'), Brosnan (92')
Oct 27, 2019 3pm
West Ham
1-3
Chelsea Women
Leon (58')
Ingle (70'), So-Yun (72'), Spence (95')
Spence (93')
rhs 2.0
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