Chelsea Women
3 - 2
Man City Women

Kerr (33', 99'), Cuthbert (63')
Carter (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hemp (42'), Raso (89')
Kennedy (31'), Bronze (54')

Reaction

Chelsea's Sam Kerr celebrates scoring against Manchester City on May 15, 2022

Chelsea edge Manchester City in thrilling Women's FA Cup final

Samantha Kerr scores twice as Chelsea Women defend their FA Cup crown with a 3-2 victory over Manchester City after extra time in Sunday's final at Wembley.

May 15, 16:14

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's FA Cup clash between Manchester City Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
38.71%	24.86%	36.43%

Both teams to score 58.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.97%

45.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.62%

67.38%

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.92%

23.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.08%

56.92%

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.71%

24.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.34%

58.66%

Score Analysis

Chelsea Women 38.71%

Manchester City Women 36.43%

Draw 24.86%

Chelsea Women	Draw	Manchester City Women
2-1 @ 8.53% 1-0 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.71%	1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.86%	1-2 @ 8.23% 0-1 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.01% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.96% Total : 36.43%