Women's FA Cup | Semi-Finals
Apr 17, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
 

Arsenal Women
0 - 2
Chelsea Women


Mead (48')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Reiten (50'), So-yun (61')
Cuthbert (65')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Guro Reiten and Ji So-Yun propel Chelsea Women to the final of the FA Cup with a 2-0 win over Arsenal Women in Sunday's semi-final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's FA Cup clash between Arsenal Women and Chelsea Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-0 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawChelsea Women
27.84%24.35%47.81%
Both teams to score 56.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.14%45.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.83%68.17%
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.86%30.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.72%66.29%
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73%19.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49%51%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 27.84%
    Chelsea Women 47.81%
    Draw 24.35%
Arsenal WomenDrawChelsea Women
1-0 @ 6.97%
2-1 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 4.18%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.26%
3-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 27.84%
1-1 @ 11.47%
0-0 @ 5.81%
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 9.56%
1-2 @ 9.44%
0-2 @ 7.87%
1-3 @ 5.18%
0-3 @ 4.32%
2-3 @ 3.11%
1-4 @ 2.13%
0-4 @ 1.78%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 47.81%

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Chelsea Women

Arsenal Women
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Chelsea Women
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Arsenal Women
0-3
Chelsea Women

Mead (8'), McCabe (66'), Parris (80')
Kirby (3'), Kerr (57', 77')
Cuthbert (45')
Sep 5, 2021 12.30pm
Arsenal Women
3-2
Chelsea Women
Miedema (14'), Mead (49', 60')
McCabe (23'), Parris (85')
Cuthbert (44'), Mosegaard-Harder (64')
Ericsson (66')
Feb 10, 2021 7pm
Chelsea Women
3-0
Arsenal Women
Mosegaard-Harder (48', 58'), Kirby (90')
Leupolz (22'), So-yun (43')

Williamson (89')
Nov 15, 2020 2.30pm