Arsenal Women
4 - 2
B'ham Women

Souza (14'), Miedema (31'), Mead (71'), Foord (90+2')
Walti (61'), Wienroither (75')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Smith (76'), Quinn (82')
Lawley (44'), Holloway (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Birmingham City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 93.1%. A draw had a probability of 5.4% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 1.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.1%) and 2-0 (11.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.52%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (0.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Women	Draw	Birmingham City Women
93.1%	5.35%	1.54%

Both teams to score 31.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.44%

23.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.94%

43.05%

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.36%

2.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

87.75%

12.25%

Birmingham City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

32.03%

67.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.79%

94.21%

Score Analysis

Arsenal Women 93.09%

Birmingham City Women 1.54%

Draw 5.35%

Arsenal Women	Draw	Birmingham City Women
3-0 @ 14.4% 4-0 @ 13.1% 2-0 @ 11.88% 5-0 @ 9.54% 1-0 @ 6.53% 6-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 5.56% 4-1 @ 5.06% 2-1 @ 4.59% 5-1 @ 3.68% 7-0 @ 3.01% 6-1 @ 2.23% 8-0 @ 1.37% 7-1 @ 1.16% 3-2 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.14% Total : 93.09%	1-1 @ 2.52% 0-0 @ 1.8% Other @ 1.04% Total : 5.35%	Other @ 1.54% Total : 1.54%