Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in Women's FA Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Arsenal Women | 21 | 53 | 52 |
| 3 | Manchester City Women | 20 | 30 | 41 |
| 4 | Manchester United Women | 20 | 23 | 39 |
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Women's Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Aston Villa Women | 20 | -27 | 18 |
| 11 | Leicester Women | 20 | -37 | 13 |
| 12 | Birmingham City Women | 20 | -36 | 8 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 95.8%. A draw had a probability of 3.5% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 0.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (14.94%) and 5-0 (11.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.56%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (0.39%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Birmingham City Women |
| 95.8% | 3.47% | 0.73% |
| Both teams to score 23.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.65% | 20.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 61.33% | 38.67% |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 98.13% | 1.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 90.68% | 9.32% |
| Birmingham City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 24.12% | 75.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 3.18% | 96.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Birmingham City Women |
| 3-0 @ 14.98% 4-0 @ 14.94% 5-0 @ 11.91% 2-0 @ 11.27% 6-0 @ 7.92% 1-0 @ 5.65% 7-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 4.14% 4-1 @ 4.13% 5-1 @ 3.29% 2-1 @ 3.11% 8-0 @ 2.25% 6-1 @ 2.19% 7-1 @ 1.25% 9-0 @ 1% Other @ 3.24% Total : 95.78% | 1-1 @ 1.56% 0-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.49% Total : 3.47% | Other @ 0.73% Total : 0.73% |


