We said: Manchester City Women 3-1 Birmingham City Women
Birmingham have shown some fight in particular during their games against Arsenal, as they threatened a late comeback with two goals, which is why the visitors could get on the scoresheet this weekend.
However, Man City are in the race for a Champions League qualifying spot, and they are expected to be able to use their quality and experience to ease to three points on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 95.8%. A draw had a probability of 3.5% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 0.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (14.94%) and 5-0 (11.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.56%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (0.39%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
