Man City Women7 - 2Brighton Women
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, May 15 at 2.30pm in Women's FA Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Arsenal Women | 21 | 53 | 52 |
| 3 | Manchester City Women | 20 | 30 | 41 |
| 4 | Manchester United Women | 20 | 23 | 39 |
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Women's Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Reading Women | 20 | -13 | 25 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove Albion Women | 21 | -14 | 25 |
| 9 | Everton Ladies | 20 | -19 | 19 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 92.82%. A draw had a probability of 5.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 1.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13%) and 2-0 (12.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.62%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (0.73%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
| 92.82% | 5.56% | 1.62% |
| Both teams to score 31.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.81% | 24.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.1% | 43.9% |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.24% | 2.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 87.3% | 12.7% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 32.21% | 67.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 5.85% | 94.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
| 3-0 @ 14.48% 4-0 @ 13% 2-0 @ 12.09% 5-0 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 6.74% 3-1 @ 5.63% 6-0 @ 5.59% 4-1 @ 5.06% 2-1 @ 4.7% 5-1 @ 3.63% 7-0 @ 2.87% 6-1 @ 2.17% 8-0 @ 1.29% 7-1 @ 1.12% 3-2 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.03% Total : 92.81% | 1-1 @ 2.62% 0-0 @ 1.88% 2-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.16% Total : 5.56% | Other @ 1.62% Total : 1.62% |


