Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 92.82%. A draw had a probability of 5.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 1.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13%) and 2-0 (12.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.62%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (0.73%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.