Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Manchester City Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Manchester City Women.