Before losing to Chelsea in midweek, Man United had enjoyed a seven-game winning run, but with Arsenal proving to be invincible at home in the WSL this season, we think that the Gunners will edge out the visitors on Saturday.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.