Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 82.28%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 5.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.23%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.77%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Birmingham City Women |
| 82.28% | 12.12% | 5.6% |
| Both teams to score 41.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.97% | 35.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.97% | 57.03% |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.62% | 6.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.05% | 23.95% |
| Birmingham City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.84% | 55.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.03% | 87.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Birmingham City Women |
| 2-0 @ 13.33% 3-0 @ 12.23% 1-0 @ 9.69% 4-0 @ 8.42% 2-1 @ 7.93% 3-1 @ 7.28% 4-1 @ 5.01% 5-0 @ 4.63% 5-1 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.17% 6-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.49% 6-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.96% Total : 82.27% | 1-1 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 3.52% 2-2 @ 2.36% Other @ 0.48% Total : 12.12% | 0-1 @ 2.1% 1-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 1.79% Total : 5.6% |


